Short-term SPY stock forecast considerations include corporate guidance ahead of Q According to Rehling, the biggest market impact from a shutdown would be the delay of key economic reports. This is particularly problematic as the Federal Reserve (Fed) maintains a “data-dependent” approach to monetary policy and is looking for data to support additional rate cuts. The bottom line is that institutions have been buying robustly for the last nine months and are likely increasing their holdings in early Q2, providing a solid market base. SPY stock forecast models suggest a short-term consolidation phase as the ETF approaches overbought territory. Volume patterns indicate institutional buying momentum, yet macroeconomic signals like rising Treasury yields could constrain upside potential in Q
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