Spot vs futures trading in bank equities narrowed as spot gained 0.7% and futures mirrored the move, indicating stable outlooks following loan demand recovery data. The implied probability derived from the money line should answer any questions about why the favorite should win, but the nuance is found in what you’re giving up by using it now and not later (with a projected point-spread projection for those future matchups). November Nymex natural gas futures dipped to a $3.318/MMBtu low Wednesday but rebounded to trade near the middle of the intraday range. Traders were largely unfazed by the partial government shutdown, expecting that key federal energy data would continue to be released, at least in the near term. Spot vs futures in retail sector equities show seasonal trends. Spot rose 1.1% on better-than-expected sales data, but futures slipped 0.2%, hinting at concerns over inflation affecting Q4 margins.
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