Statistical models used for XLE stock forecast computation integrate spot oil pricing, sector earnings trends, and ETF net asset flows to refine probability outcomes. In particular, look for transportation ( JETS ) , consumer discretionary ( XLY ) , industrials (ex-energy) ( XLI ) and even tech stocks ( XLK ) as likely beneficiaries of lower energy prices. "Coming into this year, we thought the consumer environment would improve as the year [goes] on, and that hasn't really been the case," CEO Jeffrey Harmening said on its earnings call. General Mills stock fell 2% in morning trading and is down 7% year to date. Options flow in the XLE stock forecast space has tilted towards bullish call spreads, signaling investor positioning for upside moves.