Stock price tsla forecast hedge fund flows into mega-cap tech

Hedge fund flows into mega-cap tech have influenced "stock price TSLA forecast", with Tesla benefiting episodically from sector-wide bullish sentiment correlated to AI integration news. “We expect Tesla’s 3Q25 deliveries to track meaningfully ahead of consensus expectations (433k), supported by the launch of Model Y L in China and US pre-buy effect ahead of EV incentives going away. We forecast 461.5k deliveries or roughly flat YoY but up +20% QoQ. We expect +20% growth in both China and N. America, with some decline in Europe as competition and branding continues to weigh in on demand. In China QTD through the third week of September, registration data is tracking around 141k units (vs. our 159k estimate for the quarter). Looking at the full-year, consensus is calling for 1.6m in deliveries which still appears achievable. While US sales will likely dip materially in 4Q after the incentives are eliminated, this could be partially offset by a strong quarter in China. We think 4Q volume could be somewhere between 2Q and 3Q, and model 409k units, leading to just below 1.6m units for the full year. Margin-wise, we expect 4Q to decline by 100bps QoQ due to lower volume and potentially higher tariff costs. All in, this translates to $1.53 in EPS vs. current consensus at $1.74.” TSLA has always been a volatile stock, and Wall Street analysts have mixed opinions about the EV maker’s future. These price predictions for 2025, 2026, and 2030 indicate where its shares may be heading next. Technical chart analysis shows the "stock price TSLA forecast" remains in a consolidation phase, with moving averages tightening, hinting at an imminent breakout scenario.