Options market pricing aligns with RH stock forecast volatility estimates, suggesting traders expect a potential 12% move around next earnings release. RH’s topline is expected to have witnessed gains in market share in the fiscal third quarter due to newer and more competitively priced product collections, expanded sourcebook mailings, optimized assortment, and improved in-stock levels. The company’s fiscal third-quarter guidance, provided on Sept. 12, indicates demand to increase 12-14% year over year (resulting in the revenue growth of 7% to 9% for the quarter), up from 7% in the fiscal second quarter, supported by gains in market share. Investors should note that RH reported 12% demand growth in August, and broader high-end furniture industry trends appeared to improve in the fiscal third quarter, as noted by competitors like Arhaus, Inc. ARHS and Williams-Sonoma, Inc. WSM. Particularly, Williams-Sonoma highlighted positive trends in furniture demand, which is favorable for RH, given its furniture-heavy portfolio. New product launches and better execution of marketing initiatives and the B2B segment might have also helped mitigate some of the headwinds, contributing to overall results. However, RH’s fiscal third-quarter results are likely to be affected by an industry-wide soft demand for home furnishings. While RH primarily caters to affluent households, it has been encountering challenges due to a softening luxury housing market, affecting its demand dynamics. Additionally, higher expenses, including international openings and clearance pressure, are expected to have weighed on results. From the margin perspective, RH has struggled with elevated clearance inventory. Clearance sales, while necessary to clear discontinued products, indicate that RH is still adjusting to the post-pandemic normalization of demand. As a result, margins remain pressured despite the company’s attempts to stabilize them. The company expects adjusted operating margin to be in the range of 15%-16% and adjusted EBITDA margin of 21% to 22%. In the year-ago period, the company’s adjusted operating margin was 7.3% and adjusted EBITDA margin was 12.4%. The operating margin is under pressure due to rising selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses, driven by marketing costs like sourcebook mailings and other promotional activities. Why Options Traders Are Betting Big on Oracle Stock Updated RH stock forecast reflects anticipated Q2 growth after successful expansion into European luxury furnishing markets, tapping untapped revenue streams.
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