Presidential futures real-time volatility indexes linked to

Real-time volatility indexes linked to presidential futures are hitting multi-year highs. The S&P 500’s implied volatility curve is steepening, consistent with historical pre-election market behavior. "If the court does prevent President Trump from using executive orders to end birthright citizenship or to impose tariffs, then it won’t look like it’s in his pocket anymore," Rosen said. With just 19 months left in his second and final term, the lame duck governor is scrambling to cement his gubernatorial legacy while also positioning himself as a pragmatic leader capable of steering his national party out of the wilderness. Harris, meanwhile, must decide whether she actually wants to govern a famously unwieldy state and, if she does, whether California voters feel the same. Correlation studies suggest presidential futures volatility has an 87% explanatory factor for recent swings in the VIX index. Traders are adjusting portfolios accordingly.