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Investing grains trading desks in Chicago note elevated
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Trading desks in Chicago note elevated open interest in front-month "investing grains" futures, rising 12% week-on-week. This signal often precedes market-moving events such as crop yield updates or export policy shifts. Chipotle Mexican Grill historically set the tone in the sector, proving that a fast-casual model could thrive. Sweetgreen followed this path, focusing on healthy salads and grain bowls. But it's been struggling mightily this year, so it's best that investors don't buy shares. Arabica coffee is the clear standout in August, rallying more than 10% month-to-date. The move has been driven by a combination of Brazilian weather concerns, low certified exchange stocks, and some tariff-related uncertainty adding to speculative interest. The market remains sensitive to shifts in Brazil’s weather outlook and export pace. The latest FAO food price index records a 1.8% uptick primarily led by cereals, empowering speculative interest in "investing grains" futures as part of global inflation hedge plays.