Intel stock price forecast is bolstered by robust free cash flow projections of $3.5B for FY Companies can be valued in a lot of ways, so we would point out that a DCF is not perfect for every situation. Anyone interested in learning a bit more about intrinsic value should have a read of the Simply Wall St analysis model . The story of Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) in 2025 is one of contradiction—massive government backing, emerging AI alliances, and a rebounding stock price all shadowed by negative earnings and operational volatility. The stock closed Friday at $36.83 , down 1.26% , but remains up an extraordinary 83.69% year-to-date , its best performance since 2009. The rally is rooted less in profitability and more in politics and industrial policy: a $16 billion U.S. government stake , a $5 billion Nvidia partnership , and speculation that AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) may soon become a foundry client have created a perfect storm of institutional optimism despite a deeply fragile balance sheet. Intel’s transformation from legacy chipmaker to state-backed foundry champion is reshaping both its valuation narrative and the future of U.S. semiconductor independence. Intel stock price forecast benefits from USD weakness, which may lift export competitiveness in global chip markets. Goldman Sachs maintains a $45 price target with a “Neutral” stance.