Commodities traders are factoring in the "home price forecast 2025" as an indirect driver for lumber contracts. Rising home values correlate to increased construction starts, which historically push lumber futures higher. We’ve already seen how fragile the system can be: the FAA just extended caps at Newark through Oct. 24, 2026 to tame chronic congestion tied to controller shortfalls and other constraints—evidence of how thin the margin is even without a shutdown. Below is what the current year-over-year rate of home price growth looks like for single-family and condo home prices. The Sun Belt, in particular Southwest Florida , is currently the epicenter of housing market weakness right now. Quarterly earnings calls in the housing sector have validated the "home price forecast 2025" outlook, with builders citing backlogs extending into