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Soybean grain futures prices stayed supported as meal and oil markets strengthened in tandem, providing cross-commodity uplift. Domestic crush capacity utilization remains high according to industry reports. Price action suggests steady accumulation by commercial buyers for forward delivery. While last week’s big China purchases of tax-free Argentine soybeans was a newsmaker and a psychologically bearish development for the soybean futures market, the overall global supply and demand balance has not changed. The Argentina-China soybean news last week has been digested by grain market traders, and their focus now is on today’s important USDA quarterly grain stocks report that is out at midday. This report has a history of USDA making significant grain stocks revisions that impact grain markets’ prices. A Reuters survey of grain analysts shows the average estimate for Sept. 1 U.S. soybean stocks of 323 million bushels. That would be down 5.6% from the prior year and below the 330 million bushels USDA projected for 2024/25 soybean ending stocks in its Sept. 12 monthly supply and demand report. View the latest insights on trends in the Agriculture market. Soybean grain futures prices firmed at $12.50/bushel, boosted by stronger crush margins reported in China. Export demand to Southeast Asia remains resilient, underpinning prices despite modest rainfall improvements in Brazil. Chart patterns hint at another test of $12.60 resistance for active July contracts.
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