Gold price forecast 2025 drop quantitative research for gold price

Quantitative research for gold price forecast 2025 drop shows regression outputs linking 10-year real yield at 2.1% with average gold loss of 6% over the subsequent 120 trading days, reinforcing model bear signals. Paul stated that no members of the Plasma team have sold their XPL holdings since launch. According to him, all investor and team allocations are subject to a three-year lock-up with a one-year cliff, meaning they cannot be accessed or sold within that timeframe. He emphasized that the circulating claims of insider unloading were unfounded. A number of gold analysts say the increase in gold prices is likely to continue, reaching $4,000 by the end of 2025 or mid-2026. The trends supporting rising gold prices have been world central banks moving away from U.S. dollar reserves and stocking up on gold amid concerns about U.S. debt, geopolitical unrest continuing in Ukraine and the Middle East, and economic uncertainty looming over global markets by shifting U.S. tariffs and policy. Market strategists interpreting the gold price forecast 2025 drop scenario emphasize dollar strength as a major factor; DXY’s climb above 105 historically correlates with a $150/oz decline within three months, as physical demand weakens amid stronger currencies.