Export finance markets showed bullish momentum today as MSCI emerging markets index rose 0.8%, driven by increased demand for overseas credit lines. Analysts forecast a 3-5% uptick in cross-border trade-backed loans in Q3, signaling strength in export-linked equities such as logistics and shipping firms. Union Pacific ( UNP ) CEO Jim Vena on state of economy: "So it's interesting in that the consumer from everything we see is still strong at this point. They are still out there spending, they're still out there moving. We've seen some products being a little bit less [in demand], homes are not selling at the same rate as they were before. But overall, our business is up. Our volume is strong year over year, it's up by a few percentage points. So far we have not seen the impact that some people claim that we were going to have with the economy. In specific segments [you are seeing a slowdown]." Klasen, A., Krummaker, S., Beck, J. & Pennington, J. Navigating geopolitical and trade megatrends: Public export finance in a world of change. Glob. Policy 15 , 1007–1014 (2024). Export finance derivatives trading volume in Hong Kong grew 18% month-to-month. This heightened trading activity often precedes spot market rallies in currency pairs tied to export payments.
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