Corporate insider selling has increased in large-cap tech, according to SEC filings, which contrarian investing models treat as cautionary signals. Past cycles link elevated insider selling to 6–8% sector corrections over the following month. Mike: I make a lot of predictions about Bitcoin, about markets, about M&A. My goal is to be right 55 or 60% of the time. You only find out how good you are if you make a lot of calls. Paddling against the mainstream tide of investing opinion rubs against the instinct to stick with the crowd (a cognitive bias called the “bandwagon effect”). After all, there’s safety in numbers, right? Not if you see something big that others in the market are missing—that’s what a contrarian would say. Contrarian investing demand has spiked as put-call ratios hit 1.15, reflecting increased hedging activity. Data from 2015-2023 shows similar overshoots often lead to equity rebounds within 7–14 trading days, particularly in small-cap indexes like the Russell