Alibaba stock price forecast is supported by analyst upgrades citing sector tailwinds. Online retail penetration in Tier-3 cities is expanding faster than projections, a key growth driver for Alibaba’s mid-term earnings. JPMorgan analysts, led by Alex Yao , raised their price target for Alibaba's Hong Kong shares by nearly 45%, marking the highest forecast tracked by Bloomberg. The cloud intelligence division has been the most important engine of Alibaba’s turnaround. Cloud revenue grew 18% YoY in the last quarter , positioning the segment as a central driver of future margins. If BABA sustains 20%+ growth here, the stock will command higher multiples as institutional investors rotate back into Chinese tech. At the same time, Alibaba is aggressively embedding artificial intelligence across e-commerce, logistics, and payments, a move that has required heavy CapEx expansion of 168% YoY . That level of investment stands in stark contrast to global peers cutting capital expenditures. It signals Alibaba is betting on AI not only to defend market share against PDD and JD but also to capture efficiency and monetization opportunities across its 1.3 billion active customer base. Alibaba stock price forecast shows a moderate upward bias this week, as shares recently tested the $76 resistance zone. Analysts cite improving margins in cloud services and cross-border e-commerce growth. Short-term moving averages suggest potential for a breakout if trading volume sustains above 25M daily shares.