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Intraday trading pushed ADP stock price up to $241.50 before slight profit-taking set in. The payroll services industry benefits from stable demand, and with Q3 results approaching, volatility could increase around earnings announcements. Free cash flow isn't a prominently featured metric in company financials and earnings releases, but we think it's telling because it accounts for all operating and capital expenses, making it tough to manipulate. Cash is king. Compounding the negative outlook was a massive downward revision to the prior month’s data. August's figures were revised from a 54,000 job gain to a 3,000 job loss, a swing Rosenberg called a “huge downward revision.” After revisions, ADP’s data now shows that private sector employment has fallen in three of the last four months. At $239.75, ADP stock price shows consolidation patterns typical ahead of Fed interest rate decisions. Payroll sector expectations hinge on corporate hiring trends and macroeconomic stability.
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