Cross-sector analysis reveals aa stock forecast closely tracks the industrial metals index; with index momentum turning positive, aa may see parallel equity appreciation in the near term. “This is a powerful driver of sustained asset outperformance,” he said. The bottom line: We cut our fair value estimate for no-moat Alcoa by 6% to $40 on medium-term margin compression. Shares screen as undervalued. We think the market overstates the long-term impact of tariffs, which we see as temporary and manageable. The latest aa stock forecast points to moderate upside potential in Q3 2024, with analysts projecting a target range of $41–$44 based on aluminum price recovery and improved industrial demand metrics. Institutional buying momentum has increased by 8% month-over-month, signaling confidence in sector fundamentals.
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